Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.373775 0.405201 0.439105 0.478585 0.523531 0.573387 0.633265
2025-01-05 0.306756 0.350592 0.401839 0.467059 0.549177 0.651028 0.790063
2025-01-12 0.258407 0.306180 0.365253 0.445495 0.554713 0.703208 0.930274
2025-01-19 0.224943 0.273603 0.336322 0.425872 0.555580 0.746064 1.068483
2025-01-26 0.209172 0.260791 0.330018 0.433849 0.594134 0.849821 1.336021
2025-02-02 0.201154 0.256793 0.334344 0.456522 0.658017 1.009804 1.776799
2025-02-09 0.188946 0.245386 0.326312 0.458632 0.688408 1.120338 2.182951
2025-02-16 0.175782 0.231222 0.312419 0.449006 0.696003 1.189171 2.537147
2025-02-23 0.166473 0.221778 0.304525 0.447817 0.718169 1.294469 3.074055
2025-03-02 0.156766 0.210915 0.293295 0.439274 0.724333 1.366288 3.578007
2025-03-09 0.148077 0.200941 0.282547 0.430135 0.727434 1.432066 4.138134
2025-03-16 0.140677 0.192432 0.273424 0.422765 0.732751 1.505728 4.836203
2025-03-23 0.136750 0.189360 0.273442 0.433240 0.781202 1.725178 6.740917
2025-03-30 0.129456 0.180592 0.263374 0.423672 0.783461 1.815202 8.205177
2025-04-06 0.121289 0.169977 0.249430 0.405101 0.761315 1.820557 9.129737
2025-04-13 0.114068 0.160519 0.236870 0.388066 0.740225 1.823588 10.148756
2025-04-20 0.111215 0.158008 0.236220 0.395035 0.780940 2.072091 15.446402
2025-04-27 0.110401 0.158776 0.241395 0.414756 0.860711 2.542490 32.397642
2025-05-04 0.107140 0.155226 0.238431 0.416589 0.891732 2.833292 58.593068
2025-05-11 0.102798 0.149601 0.231238 0.408231 0.891054 2.969688 91.932419
2025-05-18 0.099692 0.145940 0.227469 0.407198 0.912776 3.255262 218.509104
2025-05-25 0.096022 0.141128 0.221211 0.399768 0.912804 3.418083 531.013203
2025-06-01 0.092530 0.136472 0.214983 0.391809 0.909651 3.564450 2071.958695